129770761441875000_111If last week, investors felt that although the stock market has fallen, but is also able to quickly stabilize, rising opportunities.
That in the end the deal this week, especially after seeing the date line four continuous negative patterns, we know no doubt you want to change. Change is not merely on the ground of bad events, technology patterns and evilPoor, but also because of recent bad too much. This week, the country significantly increased fuel prices, although this is necessary, but also the existing adjustment rules. But it makes the international geo-political risks in the domestic market has been reflected, for ordinary investors, in addition to feel the pressure-adjusting, cannot help but think it will affect the inflation rateLevel. Once inflation down is blocked, and will loose to the opposite effect on macro-policy?
Because of this, the stock market for the oil price adjustments
tera power leveling, have made very strong bad reactions. Problems not only oil price adjustments. This week called the Guangdong billions of old-age pension, good news is allowed to enter the market, which is considered by some to beLong-term funding initiative, will greatly enhance the demand for blue chips, rising in favour of stock market. But the reality is that occur under the influence of this stock market rally, was just a blip. Reason is simple, the multi-billion dollar pension market, is into the "capital market", and are mainly in fixed income, into the stock market is just a small part. Such a messageSaid to be good, as it is "bad", because it let investors know, looking forward to long term funding of mass into the stock market, now is very unrealistic. Therefore, the stock market situation of lack of long-term funds, at least in the short term is unlikely to fundamentally change.
There is no doubt that this will to some extent shaken we trend to good expectations for the future. A LeeEmpty is the March of HSBC PMI index fell to 1.5%, only 48.1%, thus ending the pattern of 3-month rise in a row. Statistics show that PMI index for March is dominated by rose in the past, 10 value is 0.6%. Fall is a season this month. As a leading index, which fell, and greatlyLine below the 50% blight facts indicate that the real economy boom levels are very low indeed
tera gold, says recession is perhaps a little too, but the economy is accelerating downward on the objective. You know, to this year's stock market was able to rise much because investors believe the economy will soon improve, are proving to be very unreliable. In December of this year not a fewAlso, the real economic situation is dire. The problem is that, even if the economy is not very good, but macro-policies are too tight, pre-tuned rhythm of the tune and everyone expected there is a big difference. Now that the policy has not been a sufficient number of loose, while the economy has. So what do economy after running? If it cannot be stabilised in a relatively short period of time and take a good, then the unitWhat about the city?
At this point, the answer to these questions should be more clearly. Fell later in the week, the index line is already week three yin. Due to the closed almost at full-week lows, plus a number of short-term averages have been broken, therefore estimate the trend of stock market next week is still weak. Maybe testing 2,300 points will be a probability ofPieces.
From the operational level, therefore, need now is to control the position, reducing the operating frequency as well as the avoidance of more active in the early varieties, in case they fall risk caused by supplementation. Also, need to maintain attention to policy. In General, when a significant slowing in economic growth, and the leading indicators are very detrimental to economic growth
tera power leveling, as a decisionImpossible to ignore, there should be a corresponding action. This policy may change, it will have an impact on the stock market. Maybe, said at a certain angle, the real economy condition worse, investors expected the more pessimistic, as a means of counter-cyclical adjustments, loose policies will greatly increase the possibility of a. (The author is Director of shenyin wanguo Securities Institute of market research, Chief market analyst)
Others:
No comments:
Post a Comment